在弹道导弹防御系统性能分析中，战术弹道导弹进攻的威胁特性分析是一个比较重要的环节。为了对战术弹道导弹的威胁特性进行有效地分析，开展战术弹道导弹的性能推测和仿真是十分必要的。讨论了战术弹道导弹性能推测及导弹仿真的实现方法。 In the performance analysis of ballistic missile defense system, the analysis of the threat characteristics of tactical ballistic missile attack is a more important link. In order to effectively analyze the threat characteristics of tactical ballistic missiles, it is necessary to carry out the performance estimation and simulation of tactical ballistic missiles. Tactical ballistic missile performance inference and missile simulation methods are discussed.