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从中长期来看,影响我国国债规模的因素主要有三个:一是宏观调控的需要;二是财政平衡状况;三是国债市场的发达程度。 1.从经济运行状况来看,在今后较长时期内,需求不足是制约我国经济发展的主要因素。但由于财政收入水平较低,国家不具有减税调控的能力,而且我国经济结构还很不合理,基础设施落后的“瓶颈”制约并未从根本上解除,增发适量国债加强基础设施建设、调整经济结构,不失为一个较有效
In the medium to long term, there are mainly three factors that affect the size of China’s national debt: one is the need for macroeconomic regulation and control; the other is the fiscal balance; and the third is the development of the national debt market. 1. From the perspective of economic performance, lack of demand is a major factor that restricts China’s economic development in the longer term. However, due to the low level of fiscal revenue, the state does not have the ability to reduce tax controls, and our economic structure is still unreasonable. The “bottleneck” restriction of backward infrastructure has not fundamentally dissolved and the issuance of appropriate amounts of national debt has intensified infrastructure construction and readjustment Economic structure, after all, a more effective