1997年可以说是软着陆成功地实现,但经济结构并没有得到有效的调整,没有形成新的经济增长点,所以在1998年里还应注意有效需求不足的问题。我认为,在经济转轨时期,在体制上尚没有完全实现市场对资源的配置凋节作用,而且目前我国优胜劣汰的机制还没有全部形成。尽管相当多的情况下优能胜,但很多情况下,劣又不能汰使得不符合市场需求的生产力闲置,这是有效需求不足的一个表现。这里,我想谈谈影响1998年我国经济的六个因素,以引起大家的重视。之一:结构调整的问题,它可能影响到 1997 can be said that a soft landing has been successfully achieved. However, the economic structure has not been effectively adjusted and no new point of economic growth has been formed. Therefore, we should also pay attention to the issue of insufficient effective demand in 1998. In my view, during the period of economic transition, the allocation of resources to the market has not yet been fully realized in the system. At present, the mechanism of survival of the fittest has not yet been fully established in our country. Despite the fact that quite a lot of things are good, in many cases, poor and inefficient productivities that do not meet the needs of the market are idle, a manifestation of a lack of effective demand. Here, I would like to talk about the six factors that have an impact on our economy in 1998 to arouse people’s attention. One: the problem of structural adjustment, it may affect