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探讨我国供给侧改革提出的时代背景和理论支撑,指出和纠正当前社会上关于供给侧改革的几个认识误区。在此基础上,以浙江省为例,用供给侧的方法和视角预测2016年的宏观经济形势,认为供给侧改革决定着经济企稳反弹的基础和性质,经过2016年的探底,2017年和2018年我国经济或在新动力机制和新改革红利的作用下出现明显的反弹迹象,真正实现中高速增长、中高端水平。
This paper explores the background and theoretical support proposed by China’s supply-side reform and points out and rectifies some misunderstandings about supply-side reform in the current society. On this basis, taking Zhejiang Province as an example, we forecast the macroeconomic situation in 2016 with the supply side approach and perspective. We think that the supply-side reform determines the basis and nature of economic stabilization and rebound. After the bottom of 2016 and 2017 In the year of 2018, there will be obvious signs of a rebound in China’s economy or under the influence of the new impetus mechanism and the new reform dividend, so as to truly achieve medium-high-speed growth and high-end level.