1999年世界经济肯定比1998年好为什么说今年世界经济会好于去年?有两方面原因:第一方面是今年从国别经济看,总体上去年经济成长面大于下降面。首先,亚洲国家将恢复性增长。连续两年经济滑坡降低了基数,今年经济增长率自然要高一些。日本已拿出510亿美元投入东南亚,美国对亚洲金融危机已由隔岸观火转为开始干预;亚洲增长的基础仍然存在,人力资源、工业基础和高储蓄。其次,七国集团仍是有实力的。美国国内经济略有下降,但仍在正常轨道运行,仍将保持良好势头。对个别对冲基金的倒闭,美元汇率的一时下降,不必过于担心。美国经济近年来的发展,不仅仅是靠资本的进入,还靠实业经济的发展,尤其是信息产业和高新技术产业的发展。日本经济今年经济增长可望转负为正,日元正在升值,日本近日通过的金融改革议案,通过金融立法形式拿出60万亿日元援救银行,公众对银行的信心正在恢复。日本毕竟是世界第二大经济强国,有2000亿美元的外汇储备,有4000 The world economy will certainly be better than 1998 in 1998 Why is it that the world economy will be better than last year? There are two reasons for this: The first is that this year, from a country economy, the overall economic growth last year exceeded the decline. First, the Asian countries will resume their growth. Two consecutive years of economic decline reduced the base, this year’s natural economic growth rate higher. Japan has already put 51 billion U.S. dollars into Southeast Asia. The United States has started to intervene in the Asian financial crisis from watching the other side of the globe. The foundation for growth in Asia still exists. It has human resources, industrial foundation and high savings. Second, the G-7 still has strength. While the domestic economy in the United States has slightly declined, it is still on track to maintain its good momentum. Do not worry too much about the collapse of individual hedge funds and the temporary decline of the U.S. dollar exchange rate. The development of the U.S. economy in recent years is based not only on capital but also on the development of the industrial economy, especially the development of the information industry and high-tech industries. Japan’s economic growth this year is expected to turn positive, the yen is rising, Japan recently passed the financial reform bill, through the financial legislation in the form of 60 trillion yen to rescue the bank, the public’s confidence in the bank is recovering. After all, Japan is the second-largest economic power in the world with a foreign exchange reserve of 200 billion U.S. dollars