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2010年7月天然橡胶市场表现内强外弱,沪胶走势终于打破了弱势格局,略微向上突破。8月政策面环境仍将相对宽松,继续对沪胶形成支撑,但供应压力也将缓慢增大。另外,国内汽车产销下滑速度以及日本市场是否能扭转弱势局面都存在不确定性。不过从总体形势看,短期基本面还是处于中性偏多,加上整体金融氛围略微转暖,因此预计8月沪胶市场走势不会悲观,但上方压力仍较大,预计1101合约重心仍有望上移,波动区间在22000～24500元之间。
July 2010 natural rubber market performance inside and outside the weak, Hujiao finally broke the weak trend, a slight upward breakthrough. August policy environment will remain relatively relaxed, Hujiao continue to form a support, but the supply pressure will also slowly increase. In addition, the domestic auto sales decline and whether the Japanese market can reverse the weak situation there is uncertainty. However, from the overall situation, the short-term fundamentals are still somewhat in neutral, coupled with the overall financial climate is slightly warmer, it is expected in August Hujiao market trend will not be pessimistic, but above the pressure is still large, 1101 contract center of gravity is still expected Up, the fluctuation range between 22000 ~ 24500 yuan.