本文采用ECOMSED模式模拟了影响东中国海的3次台风过程,经与实测资料对比验证了模型的可靠性。在此基础上设计了敏感性试验以考察海平面上升对风暴潮造成的影响。结果表明,海平面上升对风暴潮的影响在空间分布上不是一致的,且因具体台风过程而异。整体而言,海平面上升对风暴潮造成的影响有限。海平面上升0.5 m,大部分站位风暴增水极值基本不变,即使海平面上升5 m大部分站位的风暴增水极值相对改变量都小于10%。 In this paper, ECOMSED model was used to simulate the three typhoon processes affecting the East China Sea. The reliability of the model was verified by comparison with the measured data. Based on this, a sensitivity test was designed to investigate the effect of sea level rise on storm surges. The results show that the impact of sea level rise on storm surge is not consistent in spatial distribution and varies with the specific typhoon process. In general, rising sea levels have had a limited impact on storm surges. When the sea level rises by 0.5 m, the extreme values ​​of storm surge in most stations remain basically unchanged, even though the relative changes in extreme values ​​of storm surge at most stations with a sea level rise of 5 m are both less than 10%.