在进出口贸易平衡发展战略下,我国贸易顺差将呈逐年收窄之势,这本来是很正常的现象。但是,理论界和实务部门一些同志认为,净出口的持续减少将意味着其对我国经济增长的贡献率为负将成常态,中国进入了所谓“净出口负贡献”的发展阶段。实际上,“净出口负贡献”的说法,不仅是对国民经济核算恒等式的误读,而且忽视了经济全球化条件下对外贸易的发展对经济增长的巨大作用,具有明显的理论上的偏差,在实践中也会带来一些认识上的误区,从而导致政策偏误,妨碍我国开放型经济的发展。 Under the balanced development strategy of import and export trade, the trade surplus of our country will show a trend of narrowing year by year, which would have been a very normal phenomenon. However, some comrades in theorists and substantive departments hold that a continuous reduction in net exports will mean that its contribution to the economic growth of China will become the norm and that China has entered the development stage of so-called “negative contribution to net exports.” In fact, the “negative contribution to net exports” is not only a misunderstanding of the identity identity of the national economy but also neglects the great role of the development of foreign trade in economic growth under the conditions of economic globalization and has obvious theoretical significance Deviations, in practice, will also bring some misunderstandings, leading to policy errors, hindering the development of China's open economy.