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根据水驱开发调整阶段含水率与采出程度变化关系曲线三段式的特点 ,给出了S +ΔER 含水率预测分析方法 .利用该方法预测了萨中开发区“十五”期间的含水变化趋势 .进入“十五” ,萨中开发区含水上升率将是一个从低到高再到低的变化过程 .用S +ΔER 含水率预测法及定液求产法预测了萨中开发区在“控水提液”及“全面提液”情况下含水上升率及产量递减率的变化趋势 ,确认“控水提液”开发效果好于“全面提液
According to the characteristics of the three stages of the relationship between water cut and the degree of recovery, the S + ΔER moisture content prediction and analysis method is given, which can predict the water cut in the Sa’nan Development Zone during the “Tenth Five-year Plan” period Trend.When entering the “Tenth Five-year Plan”, the rate of water cut in the Sazhong Development Zone will be a process of change from low to high and then low.Taking S + ΔER moisture content forecasting method and liquid yield finding method as an example, “Controlled water extract” and “Full mention liquid” under the conditions of moisture content and yield decline rate of change trend, confirmed that “controlled water extract” development effect is better than "