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把广泛应用于军事领域的态势评估技术应用到高速公路交通突发事件处理中,对事件态势进行评估,提高应急处置决策的准确性。通过分析高速公路交通突发事件的特性,采用分层贝叶斯网络,采取定性和定量相结合的方法,构建适用于高速公路交通突发事件的态势评估模型,并以河北省为例进行了实例分析。研究表明,该模型能够较为准确地评估突发事件当前状态,具有一定的实用价值。
Applying the situation assessment technology widely used in the military field to the traffic accident handling of expressway, the situation of the incident is evaluated to improve the accuracy of emergency response decision. By analyzing the characteristics of expressway traffic accidents, a layered Bayesian network is adopted, and a qualitative and quantitative method is combined to construct a situation assessment model applicable to expressway traffic accidents. Taking Hebei Province as an example, Case Analysis. The research shows that this model can evaluate the current state of emergencies more accurately and has certain practical value.