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自2008年世界经济危机爆发以来,全球经济增速持续低迷,欧洲经济回振乏力,非洲基础建设基本趋于饱和,航运市场的希望集中在新兴的拉美地区,然而美元货币紧缩政策导致大宗商品价格下滑,以巴西为首的拉美市场经济并未如人们预想般崛起,反而在美元加息的背景下出现萎缩。2015年,让所有的航运企业感到了寒冬的凛冽。本文从2015年11月BDI指数创三十年新低开始,通过对航运业现状的分析,找出了引起行业危机的深层次的原因,并针对2016年航运企业如何发展指出了方向。本文所讨论的航运企业主要指干散货和集装箱运输行业。
Since the outbreak of the global economic crisis in 2008, the global economic growth has remained sluggish. The economic recovery in Europe has been sluggish. The basic infrastructure in Africa is becoming saturated. The hope of the shipping market is concentrated in emerging Latin America. However, the tightening monetary policy of the U.S. dollar has led to the drop of commodity prices , The market economy in Latin America led by Brazil did not rise as expected, but contracted in the context of a rate hike by the U.S. dollar. In 2015, all shipping companies felt the wintry coldness. Starting from a new 30-year low of the BDI index in November 2015, this article analyzes the current status of the shipping industry, finds out the underlying causes of the industry crisis, and points out the directions for how shipping companies will develop in 2016. The shipping companies discussed in this article mainly refer to dry bulk and container shipping industries.