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最近,无论是报刊、电视还是网络媒体都对房价及房地产走势进行了大量的报道,经济学界也是热议非凡,可谓是仁者见仁、智者见智。其中一些人重点关注房价以及相应各方的利益,一些人却更加关注房地产走势对整个经济带来的重大影响。关于房价,大体有两种意见。一是“拐点”论。认为房价在2013就已经到了顶点,进入2014年后已经进入了下行通道,降价现象也从年初的二三线城市向一线城市蔓延。尤其是进入5月,楼市行情急转直下,多个城市商品住宅成交量价齐跌,有的城市交易量达到了近10年的最低点,从而形成了房市的“拐点”。二是“合理回归
Recently, both the press, television and online media have reported a great deal of reports on housing prices and real estate trends. The economics community is also very hot. It can be said that the benefactors see the benevolence and the wise seems wise. Some of them focus on housing prices and the interests of their respective parties, while others are paying more attention to the significant impact that real estate trends have on the economy as a whole. On the price, there are generally two views. First, ”inflection point “ theory. That house prices in 2013 has reached its peak, entered the downward channel after 2014, the phenomenon of price cuts from the beginning of the second and third tier cities to the first-tier cities. Especially into May, the property market turns sharply lower, the volume of commercial housing in many cities is sluggish, and the trading volume in some cities has reached the lowest point in nearly 10 years, thus forming a ”turning point“ for the housing market. Second, ”a reasonable return