一、能源昂贵及利率上升将影响东南亚经济趋缓亚洲经济连续扩张已经进入第四个年头,但目前由于能源价格高昂以及利率上扬,东南亚经济趋缓的信号已经显现。菲律宾近期宣布,第一季度经调整后的经济增长率仅为0.9%,低于去年第四季度1.4%的水准。印尼公布未经调整的数据显示,第一季度经济较上年同期增长4.59%,增幅为2004年第二季度以来最低(参见图1)。泰国经济目前的增长速度 I. High energy costs and rising interest rates will affect the easing economy in Southeast Asia The continuous expansion of Asia’s economy has entered its fourth year. However, due to the high energy prices and rising interest rates, the signal of a slowdown in Southeast Asia has emerged. The Philippines recently announced that the adjusted first quarter economic growth rate was only 0.9%, lower than the 1.4% in the fourth quarter of last year. Indonesia unadjusted data show that the economy in the first quarter increased 4.59% from a year earlier, the lowest increase since the second quarter of 2004 (see Figure 1). Thailand’s current economic growth rate