流脑是一种冬春季常见的急性传染病,病死率较高,发病率还有周期上升现象,严重危害人民健康。因此,深入研究其流行规律,进行流行病学予测,对其流行趋势做到事先心中有数,防治工作就有主动权,故流行予测是提高防治工作质量必不可缺少的。几年来我们通过实践和研究,初步摸索出 A群流脑在我省流行过程中上升或下降的一些予兆,根据这些予兆,用综合分析方法,在每年的八月份即可予测流脑下一年的流行强 The meningitis is a common acute infectious disease in winter and spring, with a high case fatality rate and a periodic increase of incidence, which seriously endangers people’s health. Therefore, in-depth study of its epidemic rules, epidemiological prediction, do its prior knowledge of the prevalence trends, prevention and control work has the initiative, so the epidemic to predict is to improve the quality of prevention and control work is indispensable. Over the past few years through practice and research, we have tentatively explored some of the signs that the group A meningitis increased or decreased during the epidemic in our province. Based on these indications, with a comprehensive analysis, we can measure the next one in each month in August Strong popularity of the year