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社会预测的相似性原理是指一种在事物的个性之中寻求共性即相似性,并用之于类推社会事物未来前景的理论。该理论认为,社会事物之间相似性的存在,是人类之所以能够进行社会预测活动基础。客观世界中的事物虽然千差万别,但它们之间在特定的层次上总会存在着某种相似性,而依据这些相似性,就可以对事物的未来做出某种程度的预测。但是我们在确认这一原理之前,必须考察和论证两个前提:一是客观世界包括人类社会中的万事万物之间是否具有普遍的相似性?二是事物之间的相似性能否用于社会预测?此外还要考证,相似类推的内在机理以及相似预测方法的局限性。
The principle of similarity in social prediction refers to a theory that seeks generality and similarity in the individuality of things and uses it in the future prospects of analogous social things. The theory holds that the existence of similarities between social things is the basis for the human being’s ability to carry out social forecasting activities. Although the things in the objective world vary widely, there is always some similarity between them at a particular level, and based on these similarities, some degree of prediction can be made about the future of things. However, before we confirm this principle, we must examine and prove two preconditions: First, are there any universal similarities between the objective world and all things in human society? Second, are the similarities between things available for social prediction? In addition, it is necessary to study the internal mechanism of similar analogy and the limitations of similar prediction methods.