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尽管它们的全部影响尚未完全展露,最近发生的金融危机以及由此造成的全球经济增速放缓将对美国与中国之间的战略对抗产生重大影响。经济问题很可能成为未来几年内中美关系日渐增多的摩擦和竞争的来源。不过与此同时,危机的后续影响将导致华盛顿更加难以负担与中国之间不断升级的军备竞争。尽管中国目前看上去已经拥有一个相对强大的经济地位,但它看似快速的复苏将被证明是短暂的。最后,尽管关于美元将丧失世界货币地位以及美国软实力相对于中国而言正在下降的报道有夸大其词之嫌,过去两年中的一系列事件将使这两种事态发展变得更有可能成为事实。
Although their full impact has not yet been fully demonstrated, the recent financial crisis and the consequent slowdown in global economic growth will have a significant impact on the strategic confrontation between the United States and China. Economic problems are likely to become sources of friction and competition in the growing Sino-U.S. Relations in the coming years. In the meantime, however, the subsequent impact of the crisis will make it more difficult for Washington to afford the escalating arms race with China. Although China now looks like it already has a relatively strong economy, its seemingly rapid recovery will prove to be temporary. Finally, despite the hype over reports that the U.S. dollar will lose world currency and the soft power of the United States relative to China is declining, a series of events in the past two years will make both developments more likely to become a reality .