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国家统计局中国经济景气监测中心进行的中国百名经济学家信心调查显示,2010年二季度经济学家信心指数为4.96(取值范围在1-9之间),比一季度低1.04点。调查表明,在国际金融危机影响的严重性和经济复苏的曲折性都超出人们的预期,宏观调控面临的“两难”问题增多的环境下,经济学家认为下半年中国经济增长速度仍会在高位上有所回落。经济学家对当前经济形势的判断和对未来的预期经济学家信心指数的下滑主要来自预期下降的影响。从指数构成看,即期景气指数为5.06,虽比一季度略有降低,
According to a survey of the confidence of 100 economists in China conducted by the China National Economy Monitoring Center of China by the National Bureau of Statistics of China, economists’ confidence index in the second quarter of 2010 was 4.96 (ranged from 1 to 9), 1.04 points lower than in the first quarter. According to the survey, economists believe that in the second half of the year China’s economic growth rate will still be higher under the conditions of the serious impact of the international financial crisis and the tortuous nature of the economic recovery exceeding the expectations of the people and the increasing number of “dilemmas” facing the macro economy. In the highs have come down. Economists’ Judgment of the Current Economic Situation and Prospects for the Future The decline in the confidence index of economists mainly comes from the impact of the expected decline. From the point of view of index composition, the spot prosperity index is 5.06, although slightly lower than the first quarter,