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采用CHINGEM模型模拟了区财政科技投入对经济发展的长短期影响,结果显示:财政科技投入对区经济整体发展的长期推动作用显著高于短期,对以畜牧业(或矿产资源)为主的产业短期推动作用高于(低于)长期,对“金三角”三市经济长期推动作用高于蒙东5盟市;比较经济长短影响,发现财政科技投入对经济发展的推动作用受资源类型、增长级距离、国家地区经济发展整体战略等外生因素的约束。
The use of CHINGEM model to simulate the long-term and short-term impact of investment in science and technology on the economy, the results show that: the long-term role of financial investment in science and technology in the overall development of the region’s economy is significantly higher than the short-term; for the livestock (or mineral resources) The effect of short-term promotion is higher than (lower than) long-term, and the long-term economic impetus to the “Golden Triangle” cities is higher than that of Mengdong 5 Union cities. Compared with the economic impact, we find that the promotion of financial science and technology investment on economic development is affected by resource types, Growth distance, the overall strategy of national economic development and other external constraints.