MELD vs Child-Pugh and creatinine-modified Child-Pugh score for predicting survival in patients with

来源 :世界胃肠病学杂志(英文版) | 被引量 : 0次 | 上传用户:vensen_guo
下载到本地 , 更方便阅读
声明 : 本文档内容版权归属内容提供方 , 如果您对本文有版权争议 , 可与客服联系进行内容授权或下架
论文部分内容阅读
AIM: Model of End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score has recently gained wide acceptance over the old Child-Pugh score in predicting survival in patients with decompensated cirrhosis, although it is more sophisticated. We compared the predictive values of MELD, Child-Pugh and creatinine modified Child-Pugh scores in decompensated cirrhosis. METHODS: A cohort of 102 patients with decompensated cirrhosis followed-up for a median of 6 mo was studied.Two types of modified Child-Pugh scores estimated by adding 0-4 points to the original score using creatinine levels as a sixth categorical variable were evaluated.RESULTS: The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves did not differ significantly among the four scores, but none had excellent diagnostic accuracy (areas:0.71-0.79). Child-Pugh score appeared to be the worst, while the accuracy of MELD was almost identical with that of modified Child-Pugh in predicting short-term and slightly better in predicting medium-term survival. In Cox regression analysis, all four scores were significantly associated with survival, while MELD and creatinine-modified Child-Pugh scores had better predictive values (c-statistics: 0.73 and 0.69-0.70) than Child-Pugh score (c-statistics: 0.65). Adjustment for gamma-glutamate transpeptidase levels increased the predictive values of all systems (c-statistics: 0.77-0.81). Analysis of the expected and observed survival curves in patients subgroups according to their prognosis showed that all models fit the data reasonably well with MELD probably discriminating better the subgroups with worse prognosis. CONCLUSION: MELD compared to the old Child-Pugh and particularly to creatinine-modified Child-Pugh scores does not appear to offer a clear advantage in predicting survival in patients with decompensated cirrhosis in daily clinical practice.
其他文献
期刊
目的:探讨榄香烯所致静脉炎的护理。方法:将100例外周静脉滴注榄香烯注射液产生静脉炎的乳腺癌症病人,随机分为喜辽妥组(对照组)与蜂蜜调金黄散联合TDP照射组(观察组),观察两组病人
目的 探讨盆腔腹膜缝合在腹腔镜直肠癌根治术(Miles)中行的应用效果,旨在指导临床治疗.方法 选取我院60例直肠癌患者,均行Miles,随机分为对照组和治疗组各30例,治疗组术后缝
期刊
真的很想瘦,又不敢用太激烈的减肥方法,明知道少吃才会瘦,却又控制不了食欲……想变瘦,是不是可以吃点什么?
期刊
目的:探讨“袋鼠式护理”对静脉留置针穿刺新生儿的护理效果.方法:选取2017年1月至12月某医院收治的96例行静脉留置针穿刺的新生儿,随机分为对照组和观察组各48例.对照组新生
目的 分析不同性别患者脑静脉窦血栓形成(CVST)的临床特点.方法 回顾性分析82例CVST患者的临床资料.结果 82例CVST患者中,男性52例、女性30例.病因不明:男性为42.3%,女性为20.
目的:探讨定量描述股骨远端关节面几何形态的方法,为进一步开发股骨远端关节软骨表面固定器及软骨修复提供关节面形态数据支持。方法选取2010年1月至2014年6月在我院行膝关节核
目的 对初发2型糖尿病患者应用短期胰岛素泵强化治疗的临床效果进行探讨.方法 选取2017年4月至2018年4月进入本院接受治疗的初发2型糖尿病患者共74例,将其随机分组,给予短期