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自改革开放以来,中国经济经历了三次较大的调整。这三次调整的基本动因不外乎总供给与总需求的矛盾。但是引起社会总供给与总需求矛盾的具体原因,却各不相同。1979年至1983年的调整源于“洋跃进”,1988年9月开始的调整源于“双膨胀”,1998年迄今的调整源于“内需不足”。分析诱发社会总供给与总需求矛盾的具体原因,总结历史的经验教训,既可使我们避免重蹈覆辙,又可以使我们未雨绸缪,防患未然,以免引起社会经济的激烈振荡。
Since the reform and opening up, the Chinese economy has undergone three major adjustments. The basic reason for these three adjustments is nothing more than the contradiction between aggregate supply and aggregate demand. However, the specific reasons that cause the general contradiction between supply and total demand in society are different. The adjustment from 1979 to 1983 stemmed from “foreign leap forward.” The adjustment started in September 1988 stemmed from “double inflation.” The adjustment so far in 1998 stemmed from “insufficient domestic demand.” Analyzing the specific causes of the contradiction between the total social supply and the total demand and summing up the lessons learned from history can both prevent us from repeating the same mistakes and prevent us from taking precautions to prevent any fierce social and economic oscillations.