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1998年是海南实施“九五计划”关键性的一年,如何准确判定1998年的经济走势,是需要认真研究的。当前应该从我省经济发展的内外部环境分析入手,从而得出较准确的经济预测指标。(一)影响海南经济回升的有利因素1.1998年国家宏观调控政策主调仍是“继续贯彻稳中求进”的方针,但同时又辅之“保持较快的经济增长速度”和“适时适度微调”的原则,同时,利用投资需求拉动经济已成为一个政策要点,海南要充分利用这个机遇,迎接新一轮的改革开放高潮。2.海南已消除房地产泡沫经济带来的后遗症,确定了正确的产业发展战略,初步形成“一省两地”的发展格局。热带高效农业、新兴工业、海岛旅游业已成为海南新的经济增长点,这种格局持续下去,将对经济结构调整产生积极影响。3.海南的基础设施大为改观,已具备大规模开发的有利条件。近几年来,海南投入近200亿元用于交通电讯、能源、信息、市政设施建设,使海南经济竞争力明显增强。
1998 is a crucial year for Hainan to implement the “Ninth Five-Year Plan,” and how to accurately determine the economic trend in 1998 requires careful study. At present, we should start with the analysis of the internal and external environment of our province’s economic development so as to draw more accurate economic forecasting indicators. (I) Favorable Factors Influencing the Economic Rebound in Hainan 1. The main theme of the national macro-control policy in 1998 is still the policy of “continuing to make progress while maintaining stability”, but at the same time supplemented by “maintaining a relatively fast pace of economic growth” and At the same time, using investment needs to stimulate the economy has become a policy key point. Hainan should make full use of this opportunity to welcome the new round of the climax of reform and opening up. 2. Hainan has eliminated the sequelae of the real estate bubble economy, determined the correct industrial development strategy and initially formed a pattern of “one province, two places”. Tropics, emerging industries and island tourism have become Hainan’s new economic growth point. This pattern will continue and will have a positive impact on the economic restructuring. 3. Hainan’s infrastructure has been greatly improved, and has enjoyed favorable conditions for large-scale development. In recent years, Hainan has invested nearly 20 billion yuan for the construction of telecommunications, energy, information and municipal facilities so that Hainan’s economic competitiveness is significantly enhanced.