我们将2009年国际经济环境分为轻微衰退、低速增长和轻微复苏三种情境,相应设计了三种不同力度的宏观调控政策组合,模拟预测了三种可能情景下的中国经济走势。第一,平稳增长情景:GDP增长8.5%左右。这一情景的特点是考虑国内 We divide the international economic environment in 2009 into three scenarios of a slight decline, a slow growth and a slight recovery. We designed three macro-control policy combinations with different intensities to simulate and predict the Chinese economic trend in three possible scenarios. First, the steady growth scenario: GDP growth of about 8.5%. The characteristics of this scenario are considered domestically