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中国是否会出现房地产泡沫破裂的局面,很大程度上取决于中国政府采取的政策中国房地产市场的极度繁荣让人不禁怀疑泡沫是否即将破裂。考虑到中国对房地产的需求如此强劲,尤其是中国居民投资渠道十分有限,只要新的供给在减少,当前的价格可能将继续维持在2000-2010年间,美国房地产经历了一轮壮观的繁荣/萧条周期,积累又损失了财富,并导致了金融危机。根据美国联邦住房金融局
Whether China will see the real estate bubble burst will depend to a large extent on the policy adopted by the Chinese government. The extreme prosperity of the real estate market in China can not help but wonder if the bubble is about to burst. Considering China’s demand for real estate is so strong, especially for Chinese residents, investment channels are very limited. As new supply is declining, current prices are likely to remain between 2000 and 2010, with the U.S. real estate going through a spectacular boom / bust Cycle, accumulation and loss of wealth, and led to the financial crisis. According to the United States Federal Housing Finance Agency