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从一定意义上讲,能源的供需状况是经济发展的晴雨表。从全球经济发展进程来看,工业化的进程常常伴随着能源紧缺的瓶颈,中国经济也不例外。据统计,全国用电增速已经连续17个月超过15%,而2003年国内生产总值(GDP)全年增长9.1%,如此高的电力增长速度还不能满足现有经济发展速度的需求。针对以高额的能源投入换来短暂的经济快速增长的经济增长模式,经济学界提出可持续发展的三赢经济模式——循环经济,它要求实现经济增长、资源利用与环境保护的统一。而今以能源紧缺为特征,循环经济已经出现了裂痕。能源紧缺引发了我们对经济结构、经济增长方式是否合理乃至经济增长是否过热等系列问题的思考——
In a sense, the energy supply and demand is a barometer of economic development. From the perspective of global economic development, the process of industrialization is often accompanied by the bottleneck of energy shortage. China’s economy is no exception. According to statistics, the growth rate of electricity consumption in the country has exceeded 15% for 17 consecutive months, while the gross domestic product (GDP) in 2003 increased by 9.1% for the whole year. Such a high rate of power growth can not meet the needs of the current economic growth rate. In view of the mode of economic growth, which is characterized by a short period of rapid economic growth by high energy input, the economists have proposed a win-win economic model for sustainable development - circular economy, which requires the unification of economic growth, resource utilization and environmental protection. Now characterized by energy shortages, circular economy has emerged cracks. The shortage of energy has triggered our thinking on a series of issues such as whether the economic structure, the mode of economic growth is reasonable, and whether the economic growth is overheating -