’99商机在哪里?

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经济二元化格局不乏商机世纪之交,中国经济将呈二元化格局。一方面,国家宏观调控的手段继续支撑整个国民经济的走势,金融监管力度加强,经济市场的竞争游戏将在法的规则内进行。另一方面,整个国民经济软着陆进入第三年,按中国经济周期,已接近波谷,1999年将是一个反馈期。在这二元化的格局之下,总体国民经济走势较之于前二年,将有一个较大幅度的回升,其中不乏商机: 商机之一:企业的扩大机遇。由于整个国民经济运行良好,未受亚洲金融危机的较大冲击,利率水平处于一个相对稳定阶段,这正是企业资产整合、兼并、收购的大好时期,成本可以降低到最低限度。再则,从微观经济角度分析,目前已市场化的主要行业或产业均属于完成竞争的态势,尚没有能左右市场价格的生产者和消费者,其发展的走势将走向寡头和垄断市场。四川长虹、青岛海尔便是例证。 There are many business opportunities in the dualistic economic pattern at the turn of the century, and the Chinese economy will assume a dual pattern. On the one hand, the means of state macro-control continue to support the trend of the entire national economy; the financial supervision and management are intensified; and competition games in economic markets will be conducted within the rules of the law. On the other hand, the soft landing of the entire national economy will enter its third year. By the economic cycle of China, it has approached the trough. In 1999, it will be a feedback period. Under this dualistic pattern, the overall trend of the national economy will have a rather substantial recovery from the previous two years, many of which are business opportunities: one of business opportunities: the expansion of business opportunities. Since the entire national economy is in good condition and has not been hit hard by the Asian financial crisis, interest rates are at a relatively stable stage. This is an excellent period for the consolidation, merger and acquisition of corporate assets, and costs can be reduced to a minimum. Furthermore, from a microeconomic point of view, the major marketed industries or industries are currently in a state of complete competition. There are no producers and consumers that can affect the market prices, and their development trend will move toward oligarchs and monopolies. Sichuan Changhong, Qingdao Haier is an example.
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