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对50余个与中风发病可能有关的因子进行定量研究,在此基础上引出有效因子,形成经验式,通过专用电脑软件,进行分析预报。研究了三种预报方法,其中综合JB、F、TIA和中风史,再结合年龄进行综合分析,经专用计算机进行预报的方法,可使正确性提到90.8%。综合1540例正常人和各种病人的回顾性观察,中风预报的符合率为80%。对81例预报危险和安全的病例进行随访观察,临床符合率为85.1%,错误率为14.9%,(假阳性率10%,假阴性4.9%)。
More than 50 factors that may be related to the incidence of stroke were quantitatively studied, and based on this, effective factors were elicited to form an empirical formula, which was analyzed and forecast by special computer software. Three forecasting methods were studied. Among them, the comprehensive analysis of JB, F, TIA and stroke history combined with age was carried out, and the correctness was mentioned 90.8% by the method of special computer. Based on the retrospective observation of 1540 normal subjects and various patients, the coincidence rate of stroke forecast was 80%. A total of 81 cases of dangerous and safe cases were followed up. The clinical coincidence rate was 85.1%, the error rate was 14.9% (false positive rate was 10%, false negative rate was 4.9%).