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林业产业的生态属性单靠纯粹的市场机制是无法保证供给的,必须借助一定程度的规制手段才能纠正林木资源配置中出现的市场失灵。文章从林业产业碳税设计的原则与要求出发,构建了CO_2减排模型,设计了碳税规制效率指标,并以江苏林业产业为研究对象,预测了2014-2020年江苏省林业产业总产值及CO_2排放水平,指出预期碳税征收可采用芬兰的低税模式,并对林业产业碳税规制效率进行衡量。研究认为江苏林业产业的产值依然以均衡的比例保持递增趋势,单位产值排放的CO_2量成递减趋势,且下降幅度趋缓。说明碳税的征收可以提高林业产业的运行效率,但短期内难以实现林业产业的CO_2绝对减排。
The ecological property of forestry industry can not guarantee the supply by the purely market mechanism. Only through some degree of regulatory measures can the market failure in the allocation of forest resources be corrected. Based on the principles and requirements of the carbon tax design for forestry industry, the paper constructs a CO 2 emission reduction model and designs the efficiency index of carbon tax regulation. Taking Jiangsu forestry industry as the research object, the paper predicts the total output value of forestry industry in Jiangsu Province from 2014 to 2020 and CO 2 emission levels, pointed out that the expected carbon tax levied Finland can adopt the low tax model, and the efficiency of the carbon tax regulation of forestry industries to measure. The study shows that the output value of forestry in Jiangsu Province still maintains an increasing trend with a balanced proportion, and the CO 2 emission per unit output value declines, and the decline rate slows down. This shows that the collection of carbon tax can improve the efficiency of forestry industry, but in the short term it is difficult to achieve absolute emission reduction of forestry CO 2.