现在正在发生的厄尔尼诺,从2014年5月开始一直持续至今,跨越2014、2015、2016年,持续时间已长达21个月,是最长的厄尔尼诺年。中国气象局的信息显示,2015年,厄尔尼诺海温距平指数(升温幅度)累计达到18.4℃,已达极强厄尔尼诺事件的标准。据美国气象机构分析,这一轮厄尔尼诺现象将在2016年春末夏初转弱,但与其相反的拉尼娜现象的概率却在增加。本轮极端天气频现,特别是2015年12月以来集中出现在北美、南美及欧洲的暴雨和洪灾,恰恰是气候变化的 El Niño, which is taking place now, has been in existence since May 2014 and has lasted for 21 months spanning 2014, 2015, 2016 and is the longest El Niño year. Information from China Meteorological Administration shows that in 2015, El Niño SST anomaly (warming rate) reached a total of 18.4 ° C, which has reached the standard of extremely strong El Nino events. According to the analysis by the United States Meteorological Agency, this El Niño phenomenon will be weakened in late spring and early summer of 2016, but the probability of La Niña contrary to it will increase. This round of extreme weather is frequent, especially since December 2015 when heavy rain and floods, which have been concentrated in North America, South America and Europe, are precisely climate change