本文选取河南省2004-2012年能源消费量作为样本数据,建立了基于灰色模型GM(1,1)的河南省能源消费量预测模型,并预测了河南省2013-2020年能源消费量,2020年预测值41071万吨标煤,比2012年增加73.68%。结合河南省能源消费结构现状,提出了河南省能源消费总量控制及能源结构调整的对策与建议。 This paper selects energy consumption in Henan Province from 2004 to 2012 as a sample data to establish a forecast model of energy consumption in Henan Province based on the gray model GM (1,1), and forecasts the energy consumption in Henan Province from 2013 to 2020, 2020 The forecast value of 410.71 million tons of standard coal, an increase of 73.68% over 2012. Combined with the current situation of energy consumption structure in Henan Province, this paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions on total energy consumption control and energy structure adjustment in Henan Province.