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人均消费对经济的发展和社会的进步起着重要的拉动作用,其结构、质量和发展趋势在很大程度上决定着经济和社会的发展。山东省作为我国近年发展最快的大省之一,人口基数大,消费水平不断提高,基于此,本文采用ARIMA模型进行数据分析及研究,并据此结果对未来数据进行预测,目的在于尽量准确地揭示近年来人均消费发展规律,通过与山东省GDP增长率比较说明人均消费保持了较快增长,说明山东省具有较好的经济结构。
Per capita consumption plays an important role in stimulating economic development and social progress. Its structure, quality and development trend determine the development of economy and society to a great extent. As one of the fastest growing large provinces in recent years in our country, Shandong Province has a large population base and rising consumption level. Based on this, this paper uses the ARIMA model to analyze and research data. Based on these results, the future data are predicted with the aim of being as accurate as possible Reveals the law of per capita consumption in recent years and compares the growth rate of GDP with that of Shandong Province, indicating that per capita consumption has maintained a rapid growth, indicating that Shandong Province has a good economic structure.