论文部分内容阅读
本文分析北京控制人口增长和产业政策引发的经济影响,通过延伸的北京投入产出模型计算最终需求(产出、收入、税收和GDP)乘数和产出驱动(产出、收入、税收和GDP)乘数,测算北京人口控制和产业疏解引发的经济影响和土地开发限制引发的经济影响。分析结果显示,无论是人口控制、产业疏解,还是土地开发限制,对北京的经济影响都是相当显著的,计算的主要经济指标(分行业的产出、收入、税收和GDP)的绝对值和增长率都表明了这个结论。因此,北京在控制人口和疏解产业的同时,需要采取相应的措施来消除控制城市增长的人口和产业政策带来的税收、收入等负面影响。
This paper analyzes the economic impact of Beijing’s control over population growth and industrial policies. It calculates the final demand (output, income, tax, and GDP) multipliers and output drivers (output, income, taxes, and GDP ) Multiplier to calculate the economic impact caused by Beijing’s population control and industrial ease-up and the economic impact caused by land development restrictions. The analysis shows that the economic impact on Beijing is quite remarkable both in terms of population control, industrial easement and restrictions on land development. The absolute value of the calculated major economic indicators (output of industry, income, tax and GDP) and The growth rate shows this conclusion. Therefore, while controlling and demotivating industries, Beijing needs to take corresponding measures to eliminate the negative impacts of taxes and income brought about by the population and industrial policies that control urban growth.