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联合国经济学家认为,在过去的3年中,世界经济的增长率为1%或不足1%,他们预测:1994年其增长率可望达到2.5%,将成为自1989年以来全球经济大幅增长的第一个年头;这一年东欧及俄罗斯的经济衰退将走出低谷。 然而,1993年发展中国家3%的经济增长率仍属不稳定,且主要因亚洲经济的上扬才使发展中国家获得这样的增长率。估计1993年非洲人口增长率连续第九年超过预计为2.5%的经济增长率,该增长率与人口增长率相比,显得苍白无力。更为烦人的是:非洲人均收入下降速度继续超过人均国内生产总值增长速度。 虽然工业化国家经济增长率将会提高,但它不会增加足够的就业机会从而促使总的失业率下降,今年美国的就业机会增长幅度可望最大,其经济增长率预计可达到3%,与其经济已呈恢复的1993年相同。西欧经济1993年下降0.4%,今年可望爬升1.6%,但该地区的失业率估计达到11%,即有 3000万人失业。 日本经济在1993年经历衰退之后,估计今年将仅仅上爬1.5%,它将从不会引起通胀的新经济刺激措施中获益。 在东欧,捷克和波兰的经济将一起上升。虽然俄罗斯今年的总产出将不会超过1993年的水平,但下半年其经济预计会有所恢复。 尽管预测中国今年的经济增长率不会超过10%,亚洲还是可望成为经济增长速度最高的地区。印?
According to UN economists, the world economy has been growing by 1% or less in the past three years, predicting that its growth rate is expected to reach 2.5% in 1994 and that it will become the global economy that has soared since 1989 In the first year; the economic recession in Eastern Europe and Russia will come to a low ebb this year. However, the economic growth rate of 3% in developing countries in 1993 remained unstable and the growth rate in developing countries was mainly achieved because of the rise in the Asian economy. It is estimated that for the ninth year in a row, the growth rate of population in Africa in 1993 exceeded the projected rate of economic growth of 2.5 per cent, which is pale and weak compared with the rate of population growth. What is even more annoying is that the rate of decline in per capita income in Africa continues to exceed the rate of growth in per capita GDP. Although industrialized countries will see an economic growth rate increase, they will not increase enough employment opportunities to push down the overall unemployment rate. This year, the United States will see the greatest growth in employment opportunities. Its economic growth rate is expected to reach 3%, in line with its economy The same has been restored in 1993. Western Europe’s economy dropped 0.4% in 1993 and is expected to climb 1.6% this year, but the unemployment rate in the region is estimated at 11%, or 30 million people are unemployed. After Japan’s economy experienced a recession in 1993, it is estimated that it will climb only 1.5% this year, benefiting from the new economic stimulus that will not cause inflation. In Eastern Europe, the Czech Republic and Poland’s economy will rise together. Although Russia’s total output this year will not exceed the level of 1993, its economy is expected to recover in the second half of the year. Although it is predicted that China’s economic growth this year will not exceed 10%, Asia is still expected to become the region with the highest economic growth rate. India?