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一.新江山日本《每日新闻》总编歌川令三先生曾经在《报纸消失的日子》一书中预言说,报纸消失的时间是2030年。这个预言的准确性暂且不论,但互联网确实正在创造着一个全新的媒体环境,它模糊了不同媒体之间的界限,打破了以往传统媒体的生存格局,逐渐改变了人们传统上与媒体接触的行为。虽然中国有线电视的用户数仍在逐年增长,但增长率却不断降低(见图1),2013年的增长率已跌
I. New Country The editor-in-chief of Japan’s Daily News, Mr. Yasuhiro Kawasaki, once predicted in his book “Days of Newspapers Disappearing,” that the newspaper will disappear by 2030. The accuracy of this prophecy is the same, but the Internet is indeed creating an entirely new media environment that blurs the boundaries between different media, breaking the traditional living pattern of the traditional media and gradually changing the traditional behavior of people in contact with the media . Although the number of cable subscribers in China is still growing year by year, the growth rate has been declining (Figure 1). The growth rate in 2013 has dropped