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预防接种疫苗需求量预测,是保证高质量充足疫苗供应的基础,有利于指导疫苗概算和分配计划。预测方法和影响因素的确定,是制定疫苗需求计划的前提条件。现对国内外疫苗需求量预测的方法与有关的影响因素进行综述。
Vaccination demand forecasting is the basis for ensuring a high quality vaccine supply and is conducive to guiding vaccine estimates and distribution plans. The method of forecasting and the determination of the influencing factors are the prerequisites for formulating the vaccine demand plan. The methods of forecasting vaccine demand at home and abroad and related influencing factors are summarized.