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奥运“第二集团”的定义是指位列金牌榜4～8名的国家和地区。除非出现奇迹,否则中国队很难跻身奥运“三甲”,这一奇迹的假设为:中国队“水陆”并进,在田径、游泳两大项上大把进金,其它各项全面开花,金牌总数达到25～30枚,而实现这一假设,希望极其渺茫;与此同时,除非出现大意外,否则中国队不可能跌出奥运8强,这一意外的假设为:中国队在大半数项目上发挥失常。跳水、乒乓、体操三张“王牌”失灵,田径,游泳所获无几,射击、羽毛球、举重、赛艇、柔道“颗粒
Olympic “second group” is the definition of the gold medal stand 4 to 8 countries and regions. Unless there is a miracle, or the Chinese team is difficult to become one of the Olympic “top three”, the miracle of this assumption: the Chinese team “land and water” go hand in hand in the track and field, swimming a lot of money into the two major items, all other full bloom, the total number of gold medals Reaching 25 to 30, and to achieve this hypothesis, hope is extremely slim; At the same time, unless there is a big surprise, or the Chinese team can not fall out of the Olympic Top 8, the unexpected assumption is that the Chinese team in most projects Misfired. Diving, ping-pong, gymnastics three “trump card” failure, track and field, swimming won, shooting, badminton, weight lifting, rowing, judo "particles