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2002年,我国累计艾滋病人感染者30736例,其中艾滋病人1594例,已死亡684例。至今年6月,我国实际艾滋病病毒感染者已达100万人。国内外专家预测如果干预措施不力。2010年全国感染艾滋病病毒人数将达到1000万或更多。在此基础上专家测算,到2010年,在艾滋病低流行的情况下,我国将产生13.8万艾滋病孤儿;在中度流行情况下,将有20万艾滋病孤儿,在高流行情况下,将会有26万艾滋病孤儿。失去父母的孤儿将面临失学、营养和医疗保健水平下降,以及无人照料和教养的威胁,也将造成严重社会问题。
In 2002, there were 30,736 cases of HIV infection in China, including 1594 cases of AIDS and 684 deaths. By June of this year, the number of people living with HIV in China had reached 1 million. Domestic and foreign experts predict that if the intervention measures are weak. In 2010, the number of people infected with HIV will reach 10 million or more. On this basis, experts estimate that by 2010, in the low prevalence of AIDS, China will produce 138,000 AIDS orphans; in moderately prevalent conditions, there will be 200,000 AIDS orphans, in high-end cases, there will be 260,000 AIDS orphans. Parents who have lost their parents will face out of school, decline in nutrition and health care, as well as unwarranted and literacy threats, and will also cause serious social problems.