运用VAR模型的计量分析方法,对山西省1995-2011年旅游业发展与经济增长之间的关系进行实证研究。结果表明,山西旅游业的发展与山西省国内旅游收入和国际旅游收入之间存在长期稳定的均衡关系。进行格兰杰因果检验,发现国内旅游收入的增长是影响经济增长的重要因素。 Using the method of econometric analysis of VAR model, this paper conducts an empirical study on the relationship between tourism development and economic growth in Shanxi Province from 1995 to 2011. The results show that there is a long-term, stable and balanced relationship between the development of tourism in Shanxi and the revenue of domestic tourism and international tourism in Shanxi Province. Granger causality test found that the growth of domestic tourism revenue is an important factor affecting economic growth.