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本文以宝成线略广段为例,提出了崩塌落石灾害发展速度的预测思路和方法.结果表明,该段崩塌落石总体上有逐年减少的趋势,减少的速度为5~6次/年.
In this paper, a case study of a slightly wider section of Baocheng Line is proposed to predict the speed of collapse and rockfall hazard. The results show that there is a decreasing trend of collapse and rockfall in this period, with a decreasing rate of 5 ~ 6 times a year.