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基于状态空间模型对整体经济与三次产业C-D生产函数的拟合,获得了整体经济及三次产业全要素生产率的增长率、资本和劳动产出弹性的估计。结构变迁效应是结构变迁对经济增长的促进作用,可分解为对全要素生产率的增长率及要素贡献能力的影响,通过整体经济全要素生产率的增长率及要素贡献,与三次产业对应指标加权平均值的差来测度。实证结果表明,产业结构变迁对中国经济增长有促进作用,对全要素生产率和资本的贡献有递减的助推作用,对劳动的贡献有递减的抑制作用。
Based on the state space model’s fitting of the whole economy and the C-D production function of the three industries, the growth rate, capital and output elasticity of total factor and total factor productivity of the three industries were obtained. The effect of structural change is the effect of structural change on economic growth. It can be decomposed into the influence on the growth rate of total factor productivity and the contribution ability of factors. Through the growth rate of total factor productivity and the contribution of factors, Value difference to measure. Empirical results show that the changes in industrial structure have a catalytic effect on China’s economic growth, a declining contribution to total factor productivity and capital contribution, and a diminishing contribution to labor’s contribution.