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首先对我国1994年物价大幅度上涨的成因进行了分析,然后根据物价上涨成因的多样性与复杂性,依据Box-Jenkins模型对1995年物价形势进行了预测。预测结果经检验合格并与实际比较吻合。最后对如何控制1995年物价上涨提出了几点看法。
Firstly, the causes of the significant price increase in China in 1994 were analyzed. Then based on the diversity and complexity of the causes of price increase, the price of the 1995 price situation was predicted based on the Box-Jenkins model. The forecast results have passed the inspection and are consistent with the actual comparison. Finally, several suggestions were made on how to control the price increase in 1995.