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经济发展对每个国家都勿庸置疑地是最重要目标,而通货膨胀在任何国家又都毫不例外地是最大敌人。滞胀现象的产生,既导致经济发展目标落空,又致使通货膨胀大敌当前,自然被认为是当代经济生活中的恶性病瘤。我国正处于经济起飞阶段,又正值改革时期,滞胀现象对我国的危害将更为严重。因此,认真研究这一现象在我国产生的可能性和条件,并在此基础上从新的角度思考今后我国的改革、经济政策和发展战略,有着重要的现实意义。一、各类国家滞胀产生的原因和机制70年代以来,滞胀现象在几乎所有发达国家和大多数发展中国家出现,80年代又蔓延至处于改革前列的南斯拉夫、匈牙利和波兰等社会主义国家。由图可看出,1971～1982年间,
Economic development is undoubtedly the single most important goal for every country, and inflation is by no means the greatest enemy in any country. The phenomenon of stagflation is not only leading to the failure of economic development but also leading to the current enemy of inflation, which is naturally regarded as a malignant tumor in contemporary economic life. Our country is in the stage of economic take-off and at the time of reform. The phenomenon of stagflation will be even more detrimental to our country. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to seriously study the possibilities and conditions that this phenomenon has produced in our country and, on this basis, to think about our future reforms, economic policies and development strategies from a new perspective. I. Causes and Mechanisms of Stagflation in Various Countries Since the 1970s, the phenomenon of stagflation has appeared in almost all developed countries and most developing countries. In the 1980s, it also spread to the socialist countries such as Yugoslavia, Hungary and Poland, which are in the forefront of reform. As can be seen from the figure, from 1971 to 1982,