中国社科院经济研究所李成勋提出,从现在起到2020年是中国走向现代化的关键时期,在正常情况下,中国将全面实现工业化和市场化,为21世纪中叶全面实现现代化打下坚实基础,经济总量达到世界第三位,成为对世界经济具有重要影响的国家。 我们对中国1998—2020年经济社会发展的前景预测如下: (一)经济继续快速增长,经济总量 Li Chengxun from Institute of Economic Research, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, proposed that from now till 2020, China will become a crucial period for its modernization. Under normal circumstances, China will fully realize industrialization and marketization and lay a solid foundation for the full realization of modernization in the mid-21st century. The economy The total reached the third place in the world and became a country that has an important impact on the world economy. Our forecast of China’s economic and social development from 1998 to 2020 is as follows: (1) The economy continues to grow rapidly and the total economic output