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近期,尽管美豆自身利多因素有限,南美大豆增产前景及中国需求呈现放缓迹象仍对豆价上行形成压力,但美元大幅回落引发的商品市场系统性上涨仍对美豆止跌起到了重要作用。国内豆类市场则陷入横盘状态,在成本因素支撑市场抗跌的同时,政策压力也在缩减价格上行的空间。目前,沿海地区油厂延续压榨亏损局面,豆油、豆粕现货需求不佳,市场价格持续低迷,去库存化压力使价格反弹高度受限。
Recently, despite the limited profit-taking factor of US soybean itself, the prospects of South American soybean production increase and the slowdown of China’s demand are still exerting pressure on the price of soybean. However, the systematic rise of the commodity market caused by the sharp drop of the US dollar still plays an important role in the stop-loss of US soybean . While the domestic bean market is in a horizontal state, while the cost factor supports the resilience of the market, the pressure on the policy is also reducing the price upward space. At present, coastal oilfields continue to squeeze the loss situation, soybean oil, soybean meal spot demand is poor, the market price continued to slump, to inventory pressure to a high degree of price rebound limit.