鱼雷试验命中概率与鱼雷作战命中概率之间存在着一定的差距,而要为获得精确的鱼雷作战命中概率采取的鱼雷武器命中概率破坏性试验中所用的鱼雷及靶船又无法回收,所以该类试验成本巨大。在这种情况下,采用小子样试验方案,即较成熟的计数式二项分布参数 Bayes 检验方案,可以减少鱼雷试验的条次数,这是解决上述问题的最有效办法。本文详细讨论了 Bayes 检验方法在鱼雷武器命中概率破坏性试验中的应用前景。 There is a certain gap between the probability of a torpedo test hit and that of a torpedo, and the torpedoes and target vessels used in the probability-of-hit test of torpedo weapons to obtain accurate torpedo hit probability can not be recovered. Therefore, Test costs huge. In this case, using the small sample test scheme, that is, the more mature Bayes test scheme of the binomial distribution parameter of counting type, can reduce the number of times of the torpedo test, which is the most effective solution to the above problems. This paper discusses in detail the application of Bayes test method in torpedo weapon hit probability destructive test.