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下半年国内聚乙烯供求将趋于平衡。预计2003年国内聚乙烯需求量与2002年持平,产量可达390万吨,比2002年增加34万吨,但考虑到进口量减少,市场将处于供求平衡状态。 下半年聚乙烯市场行情存在诸多不利因素:非典疫情大大影响了农业效益和农民收入,收益减少必将导致农资投入减少,农用薄膜、灌溉管材、农副产品包装材料等对聚乙烯的消费将会受到很大影响;由于新的环保排污收费法规实施,环保检测力度加大,聚乙烯包装材料将进一步受到限制;由于国家加大对渔业资源的保护,休渔期管理越来越严,用于捕鱼材料的高密度聚乙烯消费受到制约;国内7月、11月、12月历来是塑料原料销售淡季,将对聚乙烯销售、价格造成一定影响。
In the second half of the domestic supply and demand of polyethylene will tend to balance. The demand for polyethylene in 2003 is expected to be in line with that in 2002 with a production volume of 3.9 million tons, an increase of 340,000 tons over 2002. However, taking into account the decrease in imports, the market will be in a state of equilibrium between supply and demand. Polyethylene market conditions in the second half of the year there are many unfavorable factors: the SARS epidemic has greatly affected the agricultural benefits and peasants income, reduced income will inevitably lead to reduced agricultural input, agricultural films, irrigation pipes, agricultural and sideline products, packaging materials, consumption of polyethylene will Has been greatly affected; due to the implementation of the new environmental pollution fee charging regulations, environmental testing efforts to increase, polyethylene packaging materials will be further restricted; due to the state to increase protection of fishery resources, fishing moratorium management more and more strict, for catching Fish materials, high-density polyethylene consumption is subject to constraints; July, November, December has always been the off-season sales of plastic raw materials, polyethylene sales, prices have a certain impact.