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一、宏观经济形势回顾2013年2季度,欧盟经济已经开始摆脱衰退,且其GDP是自2011年年中以来首次出现环比增长。其中,出口对欧盟GDP环比增长0.4%的贡献最大。然而,其他方面对欧盟GDP的增长也做出很大贡献,并超过了预期,包括家庭和政府的消费与投资等。GDP增长最高的欧盟国家是葡萄牙、德国、英国和法国,反观意大利和西班牙仍处于衰退之中,但其经济降速远低于此前所见。在恶劣天气影响到1季度欧盟经济活动之后,2季度欧盟经济活动出现季节性回升,加上出口的支撑以及欧盟委员会允许一些成员国放松财政紧缩政策、重建项目实施取得进一步进展,由此使得2季
I. Review of Macroeconomic Situation In the second quarter of 2013, the EU economy started to get out of recession and its GDP was the first quarterly growth since the middle of 2011. Among them, exports contributed most to the EU GDP growth of 0.4%. However, other aspects have also contributed greatly to the growth of the EU’s GDP and exceeded expectations, including consumption and investment by households and governments. The EU countries with the highest GDP growth are Portugal, Germany, the United Kingdom and France. In contrast, Italy and Spain are still in a recession, but their economic slowdown is much lower than previously seen. After bad weather affected the economic activity of the EU in the first quarter, the EU’s economy rebounded seasonally in the second quarter. Coupled with the support of exports and the EU Commission allowing some member countries to relax fiscal austerity measures, further progress was made in the reconstruction project implementation. As a result, 2 season