随着我国民用航空运输需求的迅猛增长,空中交通变得越来越拥挤,航班延误现象日益严重。如何对未来空中交通流量进行科学仿真、客观预测,根据仿真和预测结果,科学地制定流量管理策略,缓解机场和空中交通阻塞,降低航班延误率以及合理安排系统、设备资源、人力资源,保障飞行安全,是当前民航业面临的一个重要课题。 With the rapid growth of civil aviation demand in our country, air traffic has become more and more crowded and flight delays have become increasingly serious. How to conduct scientific simulation and objective prediction of future air traffic flow, formulate traffic management strategies scientifically based on the simulation and forecast results, mitigate airport and air traffic congestion, reduce flight delays and rationally arrange system, equipment resources, human resources and ensure flight Safety is an important issue currently facing the civil aviation industry.