“早前听说过上海的房价,基本上是一个普通人一年收入的一百倍,也就是说,他要工作一百年才能用他的全部收入买一套房子。既然这样,他为什么还要买这个房子?答案是他预期房价还会上升。”罗伯特希勒当时说。日前,诺贝尔经济学奖在瑞典颁出,美国芝加哥大学的尤根-法玛、拉什-汉森和耶鲁大学的罗伯特-希勒因对“资产价格实证分析”作出贡献而获奖。笔者要说明一下,汉森侧重计量经济方法,可以说是统计经济; “Earlier I heard that Shanghai’s housing prices are basically a hundred times the annual income of an ordinary person, that is, he will have to work for a hundred years in order to use his full income to buy a house. In this case, he Why buy this house? The answer is he expected the price will rise. ”Robert Shearer said at the time. Recently, the Nobel Prize in Economics was awarded in Sweden, with Ugen Fama, Rush-Hansen at the University of Chicago, and Robert Shearer at Yale University for their contributions to the “Empirical Analysis of Asset Prices.” I want to explain, Hansen focus on econometric methods, it can be said that the statistical economy;