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作者分析了关于中国经济增长的各种预测,认为中国极有可能在2020年以前在各项经济指标上达到超级大国的水平,成为全球主导力量之一。但为争夺能源、资源和本国产品的销售市场,中国将面临着更加艰难的地缘政治斗争。俄罗斯对中国的意义以及中国对外战略中的俄罗斯方向的作用都有所增强。因此,未来中俄双边关系的很多内容一定会发生改变、完善和修正,但两国在睦邻友好和战略伙伴关系方面的客观需求仍将保持不变。
The author analyzes various forecasts of China’s economic growth and believes that it is very likely that China will reach the level of a superpower in various economic indicators by 2020 and become one of the leading forces in the world. However, China will face even tougher geopolitical struggles for the markets it sells for energy, resources and domestic products. The significance of Russia to China and the role of Russia in China’s foreign strategy have all been enhanced. Therefore, many contents of Sino-Russian bilateral relations are bound to change, improve and be amended in the future. However, the objective needs of the two countries in maintaining good-neighborly friendship and strategic partnership will remain unchanged.