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2012年,国际金融危机持续发酵,世界政治格局深入演进,全球经济复苏乏力。在此背景下,拉美和加勒比国家积极应对国际形势变化,政治形势总体稳定,左右翼势均力敌政治格局进一步巩固,温和务实执政理念成为地区主流;地区经济下行压力有所增加,但各国经济未见衰退,呈差异化增长态势;民生略有改善,贫富两极分化等问题积重难返,社会治安状况堪忧;拉美主要国家多元务实外交更趋活跃,国际地位和影响力不断提升;拉美各国联合自强意识增强,地区一体化进程继续发展。2013年,智利、厄瓜多尔等国的大选结果将影响拉美左右力量的对比,墨西哥等新政府将力行改革,查韦斯健康状况全球关注;拉美经济发展前景与世界经济总体形势密切相关,但拉美国家经济增速不均,巴西有望重回增长轨道。
In 2012, the international financial crisis continued to be fermented, the world political pattern witnessed in-depth evolution and the global economic recovery was sluggish. Against this background, Latin American and Caribbean countries actively responded to the changes in the international situation. The political situation was generally stable. The political structure of evenly matched both left and right wings was further consolidated and the concept of moderate and pragmatic governance became the mainstream of the region. The downward pressure on the regional economy increased but the economy of all countries did not decline. , Showing a trend of differential growth; a slight improvement in people’s livelihood, polarization between the rich and the poor, and other issues are precarious and the situation of public order and security is grim; the pluralism and pragmatic diplomacy of the major Latin American countries is becoming increasingly active; its international status and influence are constantly improving; The process of regional integration continues to develop. In 2013, the results of the general election in Chile, Ecuador and other countries will affect the strength of the left-right comparison in Latin America, Mexico and other new governments will work hard to reform, Chavez’s global health concerns; economic development in Latin America and the world economy is closely linked to the overall situation, but Latin American countries With uneven economic growth, Brazil is expected to resume its growth track.